NBA Point Spread and Betting Diagnosis
Phoenix is just 11-40 overall this season, with four wins in 25 tries away from your home. In general, the Suns have retained lots of their games alongside an 11-14 record against the spread as the visiting team. They are only 2-7 ATS this season and 13-28 ATS in their last 41 against divisional opponents.
The Lakers are 15-11 in their home floor up to now this season. Overall, they are 20-27 against the spread, including a 9-15 record against the spread at home. Oddly enough, they’re just 7-17 ATS when facing teams with a losing record. They’ve won and covered seven of their last 10 meetings between the groups, though.
One thing we know for certain is that Phoenix has had a very difficult time slowing down its opponents this year. The Suns are have allowed at least 120 points at backend losses, while giving up 111 points or more in each of their past seven losses. Devin Booker and Kelly Oubre Jr. have done their very best to carry Phoenix despite their poor defense. But even with Booker averaging 25.2 points per game and Oubre averaging 17.2 points per game over the previous seven days, the Suns haven’t been able to snap out of the funk.
One of the most important concerns right now is that they are playing without Deandre Ayton, T.J. Warren and De’Anthony Melton. That’s two of their best few point-getters while Melton had been the team’s top point guard. It is a lot to overcome to get a group which was terrible to begin with.
Los Angeles Lakers
The challenge for the Lakers on Sunday night is that they could be without a lot more ability besides James. They’re hoping Kyle Kuzma is prepared to proceed after he missed Saturday’s clinic and is considered a game-time decision for Sunday. Remember, the staff is already without Lonzo Ball. James, Kuzma and Ball are just three of the top four players on the team concerning minutes played.
That means the Lakers will require guys Brandon Ingram and Ivica Zubac to take the load — even if Kuzma plays. Ingram has averaged 19.3 points per game over the past week but he’s largely been a disappointment this year. He has a PER of just 11.9. Zubac has given the team a shot in the arm recently as he’s averaged 17.8 points and 7.8 rebounds in his last four contests.
There is no question that the Lakers are struggling and they’ll be shorthanded. However, declines in the home to the Phoenix Suns — who is both shorthanded — are inexcusable. Start Looking for the Lakers to win however, the Suns to pay.