NASCAR at Atlanta odds, picks 2019: Model says Jimmie Johnson surprises at Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500

The 2019 Folds of Honor Quiktrip 500 runs Sunday at Atlanta Motor Speedway and Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin will seem to follow up his historic win with another strong performance. He’s listed at 15-1 in the latest 2019 Folds of Honor Quiktrip 500 odds, with the event’s defending champion, Kevin Harvick, installed as the Vegas favorite at 4-1. Harvick will start in 18th, but ended second from that position back in 2009 in Atlanta. Then there’s Aric Almirola, who won the pole and is moving off in 20-1 NASCAR in Atlanta odds. The restrictor plates will come off for this race, so before making your own 2019 Folds of Honor Quiktrip 500 selections, be sure to check out the projected leaderboard and latest NASCAR predictions in the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Produced by DFS pro and SportsLine predictive information scientist Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking factors like track history and recent results into consideration.

It made some huge calls in NASCAR this past year, such as nailing wins for Kyle Busch in Chicago and Martin Truex Jr. in Sonoma. And it is off to a solid start in NASCAR this season, calling Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin a top contender from the beginning. Anyone who has followed its selections is way, way up.

McClure, with a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events in venues like Atlanta Motor Speedway are in his blood. Now his version mimicked the 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 a total of 10,000 times and the results were so surprising.

For the 2019 QuikTrip 500 in Atlanta, we could tell you that the version is high on Jimmie Johnson, who surges towards the top of the 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 leaderboard despite going off as a 25-1 long haul.

The seven-time cup winner had a strong run last week at the Daytona 500, finishing ninth as a 43-year-old in his 19th year on NASCAR’s top circuit. Now he heads into a track where he’s won five times in his career.

Johnson won the first two races at Atlanta Motor Speedway when the event was changed from the latter part of the year to correct after Daytona. He also won the overdue race in Atlanta in 2004 and won both occasions there in 2007.

Johnson will start in 11th on Sunday, and the version anticipates NASCAR’s elder statesman to keep close to the front of the pack and supply the potential for a massive payout.

Another shocker from the model: Kyle Busch, one of the top Vegas favorites at 6-1, does not even crack the top five.

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