UFC ESPN 1 & Bellator 215/216

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Matt Mitrione FREE Breakdown:
Sergei Kharitonov comes into this one riding high with the bookies after beating Roy Nelson, but in age 38 his abilities will probably not be advancing. Mitrione has the exceptional technique, power and durability status which should see him using a reasonable advantage. Kharitonov will be seeking to get down the fight but it will be hard given Mitrione’s superior athleticism. Anticipate a tentative start from both guys before Mitrione starts accumulating strikes to get a TKO stoppage.
Bet = Mitrione at 1.95 (-105) odds. Risk 3 Units to win 2.85 Units.Francis Ngannou Breakdown:
Cain is coming to this fight after a substantial injury layoff. Actually he has had only one success since Ngannou entered the UFC, having fought 9 times himself. With so many question marks over his condition the struggle appears to be lined overly wide. Ngannou obviously has huge stopping power and will be very dangerous on the toes . If Cain has lost a step or comes from looking slow he is in trouble. Historically his style attracts a whole lot of pressure to competitions but he’s open to shooting shots himself, especially when gassed. Both guys have paths to success here, Ngannou is able to keep the fight standing and find an early KO. Cain will wish to avert the early storm and seem to wear the larger man out using takedowns and cage pressure. We like the underdog in what looks to be a 50/50 battle going in. On the other hand, the winner of this fight is very likely to look dominant.
Bet = Ngannou in 2.65 (+165) odds. Risk 2 Units to acquire 3.3 Units.
James Vick Breakdown:
Vick’s stock is at an all-time low after his recent KO but his conduct to the top was remarkable. In this matchup he will function as superior technical fighter with both the length and speed benefit. Felder has a propensity to mirror his competitor but he will need to turn this one into a brawl to find success. It’s possible he joins with a kill shot, but all other paths to success are in Vick’s favour. Felder requires a close range fight to utilise his very best weapons but Vick has revealed he can stick to a gameplan and keep it at range. We enjoy the line on Vick to cruise to victory with a clinical decision.
Bet = Vick in 1.91 (-110) chances. Risk 3 Units to win 2.73 Units.
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