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TJ Dillashaw Breakdown:
Together with the weigh-ins complete, TJ looks sharp and has shown himself well prepared for the 125lb branch. On the toes he ought to have an important edge over Cejudo. The duration of TJ, together with his unorthodox fashion, will allow him to land severe volume against the limited wrestler. Furthermore leg kicks will be a deadly option against front hefty karate stance. Cejudo will probably be needing takedowns and important top control if he’s to win any rounds. Unfortunately for him, TJ has exceptional wrestling himself as well as an arguably more dangerous grappling arsenal. His evasiveness should restrict Cejudo’s chances to take and on the floor he will be hard to control for long periods. Overall the path to victory appears slender for Cejudo whilst TJ is a proven finisher who conveys good aerobic and far superior volume to acquire more than 5 rounds. The wager is TJ Dillashaw to become the double champ!Rachael Ostovich Breakdown:
Both of these fighters have some flaws to their match but stylistically that is a winnable battle for the underdog. On the toes Vanzant is unorthodox but likely faster with more quantity. Ostovich has a more straightforward style but neither fighter is likely to land considerable harm here. The strength and size for Ostovich will be a major advantage on the earth where both girls tend to bring the fight. Vanzant is tenacious but requires insecure options and leaves a great deal of openings for competitions. Ostovich can capitalise her superior control means she’ll spend a great deal more time on shirt or at dominant positions. Expect a back and forth struggle where we get good value about the underdog chances.
Bet = Ostovich at 2.35 (+135) chances. Risk 3 Units to acquire 4.05 Units.
Ariane Lipski Breakdown:
Lipski the”Violence Queen” is making her debut after an impressive run since the KSW winner. Matching up using Calderwood she’s the advantage in many regions. The aggression and power of Lipski’s combos at the pocket will be overpowering for Calderwood who exceeds speed and head motion. This fight is probably to perform out on the feet but even on the mat it is Lipski with the far better skills. Calderwood is coming from a”lucky” entry win in a fight where she was having a great deal of trouble. Over her career she’s been know to battle with adversity during conflicts and search for a way out. Lipski though appears to be very durable and struggles with heart. At 24 years old she will be revealing huge improvements between conflicts.
Bet = Lipski in 1.53 (-188) odds. Risk 5 Units to win 2.65 Units.
Alexander Hernandez Breakdown:
Cerrone is coming back down to 155lbs to get an unlikely matchup against a rising prospect. Hernandez brings a style that’s proven against Cowboy with his fast start and constant pressure. Whether this fight goes the distance it’ll be Hernandez pushing the pace, holding Cerrone from the fence and securing takedowns to impress the judges. Cowboys best way to success is snatching a submission off his back but that’s a little chance against a strong wrestler. The power, athleticism, childhood and fashion of Hernandez is going to be a great deal for the veteran to handle with just 3 rounds to operate with. Cerrone is generally a slow starter as well as the fall back to 155lb is not likely to assist his durability issues.
Bet = Hernandez at 1.54 (-185) chances. Risk 4 Units to win 2.16 Units.
Dustin Ortiz Breakdown:
This is a rematch struggle from the first back in 2014, which Benavidez won through decision. Today it’s Ortiz who has proven the newest improvements in his game, now riding an impressive win series. Benavidez remains a top contender but does look like he is marginally diminishing in his current appearances. As an underdog Ortiz has a couple of avenues to success. He will be at a disadvantage on the toes in terms of quantity, but packs substantial power. Benavidez was wobbled always in recent conflicts suggesting his durability is evaporating. Additionally the 34 year old will slow down later in the fight as Ortiz brings a constant grinding speed. This should be a close fight that looks to be lined overly broad.
Bet = Ortiz in 3.05 (+205) chances. Risk 2 Units to acquire 4.1 Units.
Karl Roberson Breakdown:
Roberson is moving up as a late replacement to take on the tough veteran Glover. On the toes the disparity is wide. Roberson is lightning fast and has strong counters. Glover has slowed considerably to his later years and with his durability fading his lack of head movement is evident. Cory Anderson (Roberson’s training partner) isn’t known for his striking yet found enormous success himself on the toes in his final fight against Glover. The obvious dilemma for Roberson is that his grappling defence, but working with Anderson he must be advancing here as a young prospect. Glover may get some takedowns however if he doesn’t get an early entry it will be challenging to keep up with the younger, faster and more athletic Roberson. Furthermore if he can’t get it to the mat his options seem bleak. As an underdog, Roberson seems a solid bet.
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